Introduction

A philosophy of a posteriori thought.

A prerequisite for probabilistic thinking may be numerate thinking.

Can probabilistic thinking be a unified theory for reason and belief updating? It would need to fully subordinate bayes’ theorem and solomonoff induction (the latter of which may already be a unified theory of its own).

Maybe this is a potential reduction of science.

probabilistic thinking requires thinking mathematically, at least in broad strokes. I’ll try to map out the technical underpinnings of probabilistic thinking.