A belief is a degree of certainty
In other words beliefs are your map, and the truth is the (unknown) territory: map and territory.
Once we understand this about our beliefs, then we can see that thinking is the act of shifting beliefs.
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Since a belief is a degree of certainty, there is no use for humility about our beliefs outside of our degree of certainty.
Turning to face your beliefs is the first step, because it requires you to remember that a belief is a degree of certainty and you are not stuck with your beliefs.
I believe bayes’ theorem is the tool to use for inductive logic, because a belief is a degree of certainty.