breakthroughs and flops/op-ed
draft
value of quantification, even in a highly qualitative space
you don’t have to define all relative values to be useful
this is the poset
first pass could be a time trade-off or standard gamble analysis of each technology
even if the editors calculate this from their own biased perspectives, it would be valuable for surfacing the bias
e.g. technology x has a 10% chance of making it easier to communicate with each other, and I would rather live 9.5 years in a world where I can communicate with my family more closely vs 10 years in the current world
some questions
is this too much precision for such nuanced, short term interventions (e.g. technologies)
I say maybe at it’s extreme, but since we have nothing valuable