A belief is a degree of certainty
In other words beliefs are your map, and the truth is the (unknown) territory: map and territory.
Once we understand this about our beliefs, then we can see that thinking is the act of shifting beliefs.
↑ 6 References
I believe bayes’ theorem is the tool to use for inductive logic, because a belief is a degree of certainty.
Turning to face your beliefs is the first step, because it requires you to remember that a belief is a degree of certainty and you are not stuck with your beliefs.
Since a belief is a degree of certainty, there is no use for humility about our beliefs outside of our degree of certainty.